Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000100 0.000105 0.000111 0.000118 0.000125 0.000133 0.000142
2024-12-29 0.000092 0.000100 0.000109 0.000120 0.000133 0.000147 0.000165
2025-01-05 0.000085 0.000094 0.000105 0.000117 0.000133 0.000152 0.000177
2025-01-12 0.000078 0.000088 0.000099 0.000113 0.000131 0.000153 0.000183
2025-01-19 0.000073 0.000083 0.000095 0.000110 0.000129 0.000154 0.000189
2025-01-26 0.000068 0.000078 0.000090 0.000105 0.000125 0.000151 0.000189
2025-02-02 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089 0.000106 0.000128 0.000158 0.000203
2025-02-09 0.000066 0.000076 0.000090 0.000108 0.000133 0.000167 0.000222
2025-02-16 0.000065 0.000076 0.000090 0.000110 0.000137 0.000177 0.000243
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000115 0.000148 0.000196 0.000281
2025-03-02 0.000062 0.000074 0.000090 0.000112 0.000145 0.000194 0.000284
2025-03-09 0.000060 0.000072 0.000087 0.000109 0.000142 0.000193 0.000287
2025-03-16 0.000058 0.000070 0.000086 0.000109 0.000144 0.000200 0.000308
2025-03-23 0.000057 0.000070 0.000086 0.000111 0.000149 0.000213 0.000344
2025-03-30 0.000055 0.000067 0.000084 0.000109 0.000148 0.000214 0.000356
2025-04-06 0.000053 0.000065 0.000080 0.000105 0.000144 0.000211 0.000357
2025-04-13 0.000051 0.000062 0.000078 0.000102 0.000141 0.000209 0.000362
2025-04-20 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000098 0.000135 0.000202 0.000353
2025-04-27 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000098 0.000138 0.000210 0.000383
2025-05-04 0.000047 0.000059 0.000075 0.000100 0.000143 0.000223 0.000429
2025-05-11 0.000047 0.000059 0.000075 0.000102 0.000148 0.000237 0.000482
2025-05-18 0.000047 0.000060 0.000077 0.000107 0.000159 0.000266 0.000595
2025-05-25 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000104 0.000155 0.000262 0.000597